The value of information in the court: Get it right, keep it tight

TitleThe value of information in the court: Get it right, keep it tight
Publication TypeMiscellaneous
Year of Publication2012
AuthorsIaryczower M, Shum M
ISBN Number00028282
AbstractWe estimate an equilibrium model of decision-making in the US Supreme Court which takes into account both private information and ideological differences between justices. We present a measure of the value of information in the court. Our measure is the probability that a justice votes differently that what she would have voted for in the absence of case specific information. We show that in roughly 44% of cases, justices' initial leanings - based on their priors and ideological biases - are changed by justices' personal assessments of the case. The results suggest a sizeable value of information. We evaluate the performance of the Court in different issues and time periods, and use counterfactual simulations to draw implications for institutional design.
DOI10.1257/aer.102.1.202